ubikcan

February 3, 2010

How to interpret the DailyKos poll

Filed under: Uncategorized — ubikcan @ 8:46 pm

This is correct:

A poll is only as good as its sample and this poll oversamples older (37.09 percent of the sample is over the age of 60), southern (42.24 percent of the sample hails from the old Confederacy plus Kentucky) men (56.16 percent of the sample are men). It is a great poll if we wanted to get insight into the views old southern men who vote Republican.

The same thing had occurred to me, but then again I’m a geographer and sensitive to spatial variation!

The conclusion from this however is not “oh the poll’s worthless” but:

It is a great poll if we wanted to get insight into the views old southern men who vote Republican.

Since, unlike many pollsters, Kos provides crosstabs, we can also break down the overall number into regional variations. Therefore the poll is also great if we want to compare the south to other regions and to see how the South adds an extra degree of conservativism. I’m of a mind to poll my political geography class on this.

Advertisements

Leave a Comment »

No comments yet.

RSS feed for comments on this post. TrackBack URI

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Create a free website or blog at WordPress.com.

%d bloggers like this: