ubikcan

December 21, 2007

Obama now more likely to win nomination than Rudy

Filed under: politics, Polls — Tags: — ubikcan @ 12:39 pm

Rudy’s value on the political prediction/betting sites is taking a beating. He’s currently trading at 29, below his closing price last night of 30 (ie a 29 percent chance to win the GOP nomination). Just for comparison, Barack Obama is trading at 29.6% chance to win the Democratic nomination.

Here’s Rudy’s fortunes this year:

chart119763480250523529.png

You can see that the recent “shag fund” scandal has taken it’s toll, as well as the bites from his popularity by other candidates (eg Huckerbee, as I noted in early November).

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