November 25, 2007

More market predictions

Filed under: politics — ubikcan @ 2:01 pm

More fun with markets!

Here is what the crowdsource consensus shows regarding the probability of a Republican winner in next year’s presidential election. I was quite surprised by this graph, as it shows that the GOP hasn’t been given more than a 50-50 chance of winning since April 2007, and is currently declining down to only a 1 in 3 chance. I would have expected at this early stage that the odds would be constant.


We’ll come back to this every now again during primary season.


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